SYSTEMA CONSTRUCTUM

Accepted ontology entry

confidence-interval

Confidence interval is the human-made procedure of computing a numeric range from sample data that, under repeated independent sampling, captures the true population parameter at a specified long-run frequency (the confidence level, e.g.,…

ACCEPTED THINGcmrw8j58t00bukyo6ybzx32wp

Definition

Confidence interval is the human-made procedure of computing a numeric range from sample data that, under repeated independent sampling, captures the true population parameter at a specified long-run frequency (the confidence level, e.g., 0.95). Parameters: (1) a point estimate computed from the sample, (2) a standard error quantifying sampling variability, (3) a critical value from a specified reference distribution, (4) a confidence level expressing the desired coverage frequency. Persists through statistical textbooks, software implementations, and reporting conventions. [formal: intervalum confidens | substrate: mind | horizon: a life | explicit: yes | epoch: 0.02]

Why it is in scope

The human-made procedure of computing a range from sample data that, under repeated sampling, captures the true population parameter at a specified long-run frequency.

Names and aliases

Relations from this entry

  • cmrw8ighw00bjkyo6h1t2zjilINSTANCE_OF →

    A confidence interval is a specific kind of statistical inference procedure — a competent speaker would call it a form of inference. It maps sample data to a population-level claim with quantified uncertainty, which is exactly what statistical inference does. Nearest-kind.INSTANCE_OF, not a leap (Law 11e).

  • cmrw8ighw00bjkyo6h1t2zjilDEPENDS_ON →

    Confidence intervals are estimation procedures within statistical inference. Remove statistical inference and confidence intervals cease to operate — they are not standalone constructs but inference tools.

Relations to this entry

  • cmsm3r9yr00di1q13jipxrrdk← DERIVED_FROM

    which-came-first: confidence intervals (1930s, Neyman) predate prediction intervals (1930s, also Neyman but later in his work on tolerance regions). Prediction intervals were built on the confidence interval framework, extending it from parameter estimation to future observation. Confidence intervals existed first and fed into prediction intervals.

Record identity

Created
Jul 22, 2026, 3:26 PM UTC
Content hash
80d722c9bb455f50f0c539fe7d8111a8408d1bf2266cb2fd4f26cc1453ea357e

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